WARSAW, Poland (AP) – Polish presidential exit polls on Sunday revealed that the race remains highly competitive in a nation marked by division. The results could shape the country’s political trajectory and its engagement with the European Union.
The initial exit poll indicated that liberal Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski had a narrow advantage over conservative historian Karol Nawrocki. However, an updated poll released two hours later showed Nawrocki leading with 50.7%, compared to Trzaskowski’s 49.3%.
The accuracy of these polls is uncertain, leaving the ultimate winner yet to be determined.
This photo combination shows Rafal Truzaskowski on the left and Karol Naurocky on the right in Warsaw (AP Photos/Czarek Sokolowski, file)
Victorious Claims Amidst Ambiguity
The final results remained unknown as both candidates engaged their supporters in Warsaw. Trzaskowski told his audience, “We won,” prompting chants of “Rafał, Rafał.” He added, “This marks a significant moment in Polish history. Let’s focus on the future; I will be your president.”
Nawrocki, at a separate rally, expressed confidence in his victory, asserting, “We will secure Poland’s future; we need to win tonight.”
The ultimate outcome is anticipated by Monday.
Divided Nation
The polarized presidential race features Trzaskowski, a liberal pro-EU candidate versus conservative historian Nawrocki, who is backed by the right-wing Law and Justice party, paralleling conservative movements in the United States, including support from former President Donald Trump.
The closeness of the race underscores the deep societal divisions currently present in Poland.
These results will determine if Poland leans towards nationalism or moves decisively towards liberal democratic principles. With incumbent President Andrzej Duda nearing the end of his second term, the new president’s influence will be significant for Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s government as it tries to implement its agenda in light of presidential powers.
“We won’t allow Tusk’s control to go unchecked,” Nawrocki stated.
This election followed a fiercely fought first round on May 18, in which Trzaskowski garnered over 31% of the votes while Nawrocki received nearly 30%, eliminating 11 other candidates.
Katalgina Marek, a 29-year-old voter from Warsaw, initially supported a left-wing candidate in the first round but chose Trzaskowski in the runoff, believing he is better positioned to strengthen foreign relations.
“I hope for less division and more dialogue,” she expressed.
Residents prepare to vote during the presidential election leak in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025 (AP Photo/Czarek Sokolowski)
The campaign reveals a stark ideological divide. Trzaskowski, 53, pledges to restore judicial independence, ease abortion restrictions, and build cooperative relationships with European allies. Meanwhile, Nawrocki, 42, advocates for traditional Polish values and is skeptical of the EU.
Accusations Against Nawrocki
Nawrocki’s campaign has been marred by connections to criminal figures and accusations of involvement in violent conflicts. While he denies any malicious ties, he acknowledges participating in a “noble” struggle. Despite this, these revelations have seemingly failed to dampen his appeal among right-leaning voters.
“We unite the entire Polish patriotic camp and those who seek a safe and secure Poland free of illegal immigration,” he asserted, drawing explicit references to far-right supporters from the first round.
Some who backed Nawrocki in Warsaw dismissed the allegations against him, arguing he shouldn’t be penalized for his past actions and criticizing Trzaskowski’s record as mayor.
Władysława Usoska, an 82-year-old former history teacher, reflects on how Poland cultivated patriotic sentiment among her students during the communist era, under Moscow’s influence.
“I’m a right-wing conservative. I cherish God, the church, and my hometown,” she said, arguing that Nawrocki represents the only truly patriotic option and criticizing Trzaskowski for prioritizing foreign interests.
“He is controlled by Germany,” she proclaimed. “I desire a sovereign, independent Polish and Catholic Poland.”
International Ramifications
With concerns about regional security stemming from the Russian war in nearby Ukraine, both candidates express contrasting stances on Ukraine’s NATO aspirations; Nawrocki opposes it while Trzaskowski aims to support Kyiv.
Nawrocki’s campaigning echoes popular themes found within American right-wing circles, focusing heavily on traditional values. His supporters fear that Trzaskowski’s pro-EU stance may entail ceding vital Polish issues to larger European powers like Germany and France.
Conversely, many pro-European advocates view Trzaskowski as a defender of democratic principles in a world increasingly threatened by authoritarianism.
Source: apnews.com